Here are those numbers, along with Wentz’s 2016-2020 total numbers, showing where he fell in those ranges while he was with Philly. To give a better understanding of what are good and bad measures of these metrics, I took the top 32 QBs by drop-back volume from each year since Wentz entered the league (2016-2021) and calculated their cumulative yearly average PSR and EPA/d along with the yearly avg minimums and maximums. Passing Success Rate (the % of pass plays that have positive value).EPA per drop-back (the average value of pass plays).The Expected Points Added (EPA) of each pass play can be used to create 2 very powerful QB measures: So, it shouldn’t have been surprising to anyone that in 2021, Wentz had a lot of inconsistency in his game and was overall, just average. Those rankings show a QB that has had a lot of inconsistency in his game and is overall, just average. Stampede Blue Writers Roundtable: Carson Wentz Trade In his 5 years in the league, Wentz’s EPA efficiency has ranked 20th, 2nd, 15th, 18th, 31st. While that statement is almost universally true, there is a corollary that people often ignore, that is just as true: “Past performance is frequently indicative of future results”.Īfter the 2021 trade that brought Carson Wentz to Indianapolis, I had expressed concerns about his ability as a QB, based on his past performance. I’m sure you have heard the phrase “Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results”. However, the strengths and weaknesses are obviously different no matter what anyone says.Thanks to the nflFastR project and NFL NextGen Stats for the timely sources of data. They both are quality quarterbacks in some respects and they both have clear shortcomings. Hell, the most Wentz has ever thrown is 14 and that was when he was a rookie.Īgain, not a fan of Wentz, but comparing him to Winston isn't fair to either of them. Wentz's highs in the NFL have been vastly higher than Winston's and his lows haven't been nearly as low as 30 interceptions in a season. Winston has never been (yes, in part because he played on bad teams, but it's still a fact). It was back in 2017, but the fact is, he was in that conversation. Wentz once played at an MVP level for the Eagles. To Spears' second point about the highs being high and lows being low, this too, is inaccurate. They are also similar in size - Wentz is listed at 6-5, 237 pounds and Winston is 6-4, 231. Most notably, they both have a fumbling problem - 50 for each, though Wentz has started 12 fewer games. He takes risks and is confident squeezing the ball in tight spaces. His focus is accuracy and minimizing risky throws. They are not the same quarterback at all. I could go into the advanced stats, which paint a similar picture, but you get the point. However, this point is completely inaccurate and all you need to do is go to the stat book to prove it.įrom 2015-2019, these are Winston's stats: 86.9 QB rating, 28-42 record as a starter, 19,737 passing yards, 61.3% completions, 121 TD, 88 INT, 7.7 yards per attempt, 169 sacks.įrom 2016-2020, here are Wentz's stats: 91.5 QB rating, 32-26 record as a starter, 14,703 passing yards, 63.6% completions, 99 TD, 39 INT, 6.9 yards per attempt, 137 sacks, GXRcgSjfH9- Get Up September 22, 2020Ĭredit to Spears for coming up with a new talking point about Wentz a day after the stat nerds and eye-test truthers combined forces to bury him deep in the ground. " reminds me, personally, of Jameis Winston." No matter what Marcus Spears tries to tell you on ESPN. No, Wentz is nothing like Jameis Winston. Verbal vile is flying at Carson Wentz from every direction following his inauspicious start to this season, but I cannot stand idly by and listen to inaccurate comparisons of the Eagles quarterback, who, for the record, I am not a fan of.
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